US Dollar, DXY Index, USD/JPY, Ueda, BoJ, USD/CNH, China, India, Commodities – Talking Points
- US Dollar is under pressure as BoJ Governor’s Comments Shake Currency Markets
- Government bond yields are higher globally with JGBs leading the way
- The ascending trend remains in play for the DXY index for now. Will it reverse?
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The US Dollar has taken a battering across the board to start Monday with the DXY (USD) index giving up a large portion of last week’s gains.
The Japanese Yen scored the largest gains in the aftermath of comments by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor.
In an interview with the Yomiuri Shimbun newspaper, Governor Kazuo Ueda said, “We have a variety of options if economic and price conditions turn upward.”
However, he clarified that “There is still some way to go before the price target can be realized. We will continue our persistent monetary easing policy.”
USD/JPY initially traded near the recent peak of 147.87 at the open before collapsing toward 146.00 throughout the Asian session. 10-year Japanese Government Bond yields traded above 0.70% today for the first time since early 2014.
Elsewhere, the G-20 summit concluded in India, with a joint communique that has been viewed as a positive for India, indicating a possible shift in global geo-political and economic dynamics.
China’s credit data exceeded expectations, leading to a dip in the USD/CNH (US Dollar/Chinese Yuan) after the fix. New Yuan loans were CNY 1.36 billion in August, above forecasts of CNY 1.25 billion.
This news could be a positive signal for traders, as a healthier credit environment in China can potentially lead to increased economic activity and investment opportunities.
The growth linked Aussie and Kiwi Dollars notched sizable gains, as did Sterling do a lesser extent.
APAC equity indices are mixed with Australia’s ASX 200 and mainland China’s CSI 300 seeing small gains while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index dipped.
In Japan, bank shares experienced noticeable gains with the prospect of higher interest rates. The Nikkei 500 banking index rose by over 3%, while the broader Nikkei 225 index fell by approximately 0.5%.
This divergence highlights the potential for sector-specific trading strategies, as different industries can react differently to the same macroeconomic indicators.
In commodities markets, iron ore futures traded higher on the Dalian and Singaporean exchanges. Gold and silver have seen small gains on the weaker USD.
Crude oil is mostly steady with the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures contract slipping slightly toward US$ 87 while the Brent contract is trading near Friday’s close just above US$ 90.50.
Looking ahead, the highlight this week will be the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release on Wednesday. This key economic indicator can significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, and thus impact the USD and other correlated assets.
The full economic calendar can be viewed here.
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DXY (USD) INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS SNAPSHOT
The DXY Index broke below a breakpoint near 104.70 and that level may offer resistance ahead of another breakpoint and prior peak in the 105.10 – 105.15 area.
The index remains in an ascending trend channel and support might be found at the breakpoints near 104.45 and 103.57 or further below at the previous lows in the 102.90 – 103.00 area.
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— Written by Daniel McCarthy, Strategist for DailyFX.com
Please contact Daniel via @DanMcCarthyFX on Twitter