Business Conditions Improve, Inflation Cools - buzzfeed.work
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University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Report: All Readings Rise

  • Index of Consumer Sentiment 58.1 vs 56.8 (Nov)
  • Index of Economic Conditions 60.2 vs 58.8 (Nov)
  • Index of Consumer Expectations 58.4 vs 55.6 (Nov)

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Consumer sentiment made a stark improvement on last month, improving in all three categories. Most notable data points include the sizable 14% rise in one-year business conditions. In addition, year-ahead inflation expectations fell from 4.9% to 4.6% – the lowest reading over the past 15 months. Despite the optimism the year-ahead measure of inflation, the long run inflation expectations remained at 3%, most likely reflecting the fact that inflation is anticipated to remain sticky for an extended period of time.

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The Michigan sentiment report appeared not long after the US PPI data revealed a higher print, sending the dollar higher as more signs appear that the Fed’s work isn’t done just yet. The positive sentiment figures produced another short-term push higher in the greenback.

US Dollar Index (DXY) 5 Minute Chart

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Source: TradingView, prepared by Richard Snow

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S&P 500 E-Mini Futures dipped around 1.5% after the PPI data and price action appears to be holding below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the major 2022 move.

S&P 500 E-Mini Futures 5 Minute Chart

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Source: TradingView, prepared by Richard Snow

— Written by Richard Snow for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow Richard on Twitter: @RichardSnowFX

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