Greenback Extends Losses as Loonie Gains –


USD/CAD Outlook:

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USD/CAD has fallen into a tight range of support and resistance, developing around 1.365. After breaking below the prior level of support, the rebound in oil prices stalled, muting the Canadian Dollar.

Although the takeover deal between First Citizens Bank and SVB temporarily calmed fears over the stability of the banking sector, regional and smaller banks remain a concern. This comes at a time when regulatory officials from the Federal Reserve, Federal Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and Treasury Department are forced to testify before the congressional committee.

While US authorities and the FDIC have committed to providing liquidity to larger financial institutions, there is still uncertainty around how other lenders have been impacted by recent events.

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As market participants continue to price in developments in the fundamental backdrop, the US Dollar has failed to regain confidence against its major counterparts.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis

At the time of writing, USD/CAD is trading around another key level of technical significance, holding around 1.365. With a zone of confluency forming between 1.3600 and 1.370, the narrow range remains critical for the short and medium-term move.

After a steep drop from the March high, the 1.3700 psychological level (coinciding with the 20-day MA) provided temporary support before stepping in as resistance, which currently remains intact.

USD/CAD Daily Chart


Chart prepared by Tammy Da Costa using TradingView

If bears manage to gain traction and break support, a retest of 1.3600 is possible, with the next level of Fibonacci support (78.6% retracement of the 2011 – 2016 move) coming into play at 1.356.

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— Written by Tammy Da Costa, Analyst for

Contact and follow Tammy on Twitter: @Tams707


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